Can Labour win the 2017 General Election?

Despite what the opinion polls say, and even they show Labour reducing the Tory lead, Labour can win the General Election, and Jeremy Corbyn is immensely popular, in fact more popular than any other current Party leader judging by the huge crowds which greet him everywhere. However if you read the Main Stream Media, or listen to it via TV, you would get the opposite impression, that Corbyn is the most unpopular leader, and the opinion polls give the same message. It all depends, of course, on who is asked the questions and what newspapers they read.

The problem is that entrenched in Parliament are so many Labour MPs who got there in the New Labour era, and they have done everything in their power from the moment Corbyn was first elected leader to stab him in the back. He picked a Shadow Cabinet from all sections of the Parliamentary Labour Party, and the Blairites then promptly resigned saying he was ‘incompetent’. For heaven’s sake, the man had been a backbencher for decades, a bit of help and support would have been nice, and patience. Blairite MPs constantly ran him down in the rightwing media, then 172 voted ‘no confidence’ in him. Had Corbyn then resigned as leader, he would have been kept off the ballot paper along with all other leftwingers.

They put up Owen Smith, who nobody had ever heard of, to challenge Corbyn for the leadership, spouting a left-sounding agenda, but the membership did not fall for it and re-elected Corbyn with an even bigger majority.

As to the General Election which all the polls predict the Tories will win, in these uncertain times nothing can be predicted with any reliability. So many factors come into play in this Election. Brexit will feature prominently. How will Remainers vote? How will Leavers vote? So far it seems most UKIP votes will go to the Tories, but this is not necessarily so. Many could go to Labour. Then there will be tactical voting to confuse things. What happens in Scotland could be crucial, but a post-election alliance of Labour and the SNP could stop the Tories if together they could form a majority of MPs.

One thing is certain. To achieve a Labour victory people must vote Labour. That may seen obvious, but when so many of the potential electorate do not register or register but then do not vote, then they cannot complain if they end up with a government they do not like. In the past many have not bothered to vote as they saw little difference between the main political parties or just did not trust politicians. This time it is different, as Labour under Corbyn has inspired many people that we now have a real alternative and a new kind of politics.

If young people, many of whom were denied a vote in the EU Referendum or were too young to vote in the 2015 General Election, register and vote Labour, and if sufficient numbers of people who do not usually vote do the same, Labour could not only win, but even win by a landslide. That is a lot of ‘ifs’, but it is perfectly possible.

The big fly in the ointment is the Main Stream Media, which includes the BBC and most other TV news outlets, and most of the Press. The tabloids are the worst. In Soviet-style Socialist Democracy the government told the people how to vote; in our own version of democracy Rupert Murdoch, George Osborne and company tell the people how to vote. Thank goodness for social media!

There are two possibilities in this Election. Either young people and previous non-voters come out in their millions and vote, in which case Labour could form the next government, or they leave it to the older generation and readers of the tabloids in which case the Tories will be returned with a bigger majority.

One thought on “Can Labour win the 2017 General Election?

  1. One thing to Add Tony about polls they are skewed in counting. Depending on predicting that young people and working class are less likely to vote. So any of their ‘vote’ in polls are counted down or counted as half. So I’m taking the polls with a pinch of salt. You are right I think with saying a larger turnout will benefit Labour the opposite of a low turnout Tories.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *